Darja Semenistaja vs Monika Ekstrand · Match odds & ELO prediction
Miami • Hard • Mar 16, 2026 • 9:10 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Darja Semenistaja
Key insights
Player performance profile
Darja Semenistaja
50% · 2–2 on hard
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,161 points across 19 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,161 points across 19 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.3 | 14% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.1 | 64% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.3 | 20% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 29% | 9% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Monika Ekstrand
53% · 9–8 on hard
71% · 15–6 on clay
Games won (last 10)
45%
7 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~0 points across 0 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~0 points across 0 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.0 | 48% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.0 | 63% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | 0.0 | 48% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Darja Semenistaja and Monika Ekstrand are set to meet at the Miami on March 16, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Semenistaja enters with a 2–2 record on hard courts in 2026, while Ekstrand has limited recorded results on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Semenistaja entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Semenistaja leads 1–0 over Ekstrand, including a win in their most recent meeting.