Adam Walton vs Mattia Bellucci · Match odds & ELO prediction
Cap Cana • Hard • Mar 14, 2026 • 9:20 PM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Mattia Bellucci
Key insights
Player performance profile
Adam Walton
55% · 17–14 on hard
33% · 1–2 on clay
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,515 points across 60 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,515 points across 60 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.2 | 41% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.2 | 24% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -6.1 | 6% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 24% | 4% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Mattia Bellucci
55% · 12–10 on hard
50% · 5–5 on clay
Games won (last 10)
46%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,316 points across 52 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,316 points across 52 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.2 | 41% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.0 | 26% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.9 | 40% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 44% | 30% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Adam Walton and Mattia Bellucci are set to meet at the Cap Cana on March 14, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Walton enters with a 17–14 record on hard courts in 2026, while Bellucci has posted a 12–10 mark on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Bellucci leads 3–0 over Walton, including a win in their most recent meeting.