Adam Walton vs Mattia Bellucci · Match odds & ELO prediction
Cap Cana • Hard • Mar 14, 2026 • 9:20 PM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Mattia Bellucci
Key insights
Player performance profile
Adam Walton
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,242 points across 58 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,242 points across 58 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.3 | 40% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.2 | 22% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -6.5 | 7% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 24% | 4% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Mattia Bellucci
33% · 1–2 on hard
Games won (last 10)
44%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,822 points across 49 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,822 points across 49 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.3 | 41% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.0 | 27% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.0 | 50% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 49% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Adam Walton and Mattia Bellucci are set to meet at the Cap Cana on March 14, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Walton enters with a 1–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Bellucci has posted a 1–2 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Bellucci entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Bellucci leads 3–0 over Walton, including a win in their most recent meeting.