BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

Elena Rybakina vs Elina Svitolina · Match odds & ELO prediction

WTA Indian Wells • Hard • Mar 14, 2026 • 1:15 AM

Hard

Final score

2 - 0

Winner Elena Rybakina

Key insights

Player performance profile

Elena Rybakina

HARDSmall sample

67% · 21 on hard

Games won (last 10)

59%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~13,358 points across 92 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Elite
7.6100% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-1.533% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+2.066% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Solid
59%70% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Elina Svitolina

HARD

100% · 50 on hard

Games won (last 10)

54%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~9,571 points across 68 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
3.088% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
1.083% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+3.173% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Solid
57%63% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Elena Rybakina and Elina Svitolina are set to meet at the WTA Indian Wells on March 14, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Rybakina enters with a 2–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Svitolina has posted a 5–0 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Rybakina entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Rybakina leads 4–2 over Svitolina, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Both players enter with respectable recent form, as Rybakina and Svitolina have each won three or more of their last five singles matches.
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