Alina Charaeva vs Lia Karatancheva · Match odds & ELO prediction
Antalya 3 • Clay • Mar 11, 2026 • 7:35 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Alina Charaeva
Key insights
Player performance profile
Alina Charaeva
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,317 points across 16 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,317 points across 16 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.2 | 43% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.0 | 11% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +5.6 | 87% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Lia Karatancheva
20% · 1–4 on hard
38% · 6–10 on clay
Games won (last 10)
47%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~623 points across 9 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~623 points across 9 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.7 | 63% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.2 | 37% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.8 | 16% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Alina Charaeva and Lia Karatancheva are set to meet at the Antalya 3 on March 11, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Charaeva enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Karatancheva has posted a 6–10 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Karatancheva entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Charaeva leads 2–0 over Karatancheva, including a win in their most recent meeting.