Jacob Fearnley vs Arthur Cazaux · Match odds & ELO prediction
Phoenix • Hard • Mar 12, 2026 • 4:35 AM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Arthur Cazaux
Key insights
Player performance profile
Jacob Fearnley
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
47%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,167 points across 49 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,167 points across 49 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.2 | 21% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.0 | 71% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +5.2 | 88% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 69% | 91% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Arthur Cazaux
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
61%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,357 points across 43 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,357 points across 43 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.7 | 67% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.8 | 29% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +4.1 | 83% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 60% | 74% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Jacob Fearnley and Arthur Cazaux are set to meet at the Phoenix on March 12, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Fearnley enters with a 1–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Cazaux has posted a 1–1 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Cazaux, but the gap is not overwhelming. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 1 wins.