Francesco Maestrelli vs Mattia Bellucci · Match odds & ELO prediction
Cap Cana • Hard • Mar 11, 2026 • 12:35 AM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Mattia Bellucci
Key insights
Player performance profile
Francesco Maestrelli
61% · 11–7 on hard
0% · 0–5 on clay
Games won (last 10)
42%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,496 points across 10 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,496 points across 10 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.4 | 44% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.5 | 8% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +7.0 | 94% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Mattia Bellucci
55% · 12–10 on hard
50% · 5–5 on clay
Games won (last 10)
46%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,316 points across 52 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,316 points across 52 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.2 | 41% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.0 | 26% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.9 | 40% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 44% | 30% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Francesco Maestrelli and Mattia Bellucci are set to meet at the Cap Cana on March 11, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Maestrelli enters with a 11–7 record on hard courts in 2026, while Bellucci has posted a 12–10 mark on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Maestrelli leads 2–1 over Bellucci.