Cameron Norrie vs Alex De Minaur · Match odds & ELO prediction
ATP Indian Wells • Hard • Mar 9, 2026 • 6:10 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Cameron Norrie
Key insights
Player performance profile
Cameron Norrie
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
47%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~14,567 points across 84 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~14,567 points across 84 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.3 | 58% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.9 | 49% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +4.3 | 82% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 55% | 63% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Alex De Minaur
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~14,447 points across 97 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~14,447 points across 97 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.2 | 72% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.4 | 97% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.9 | 30% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 47% | 37% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Cameron Norrie and Alex De Minaur are set to meet at the ATP Indian Wells on March 9, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Norrie enters with a 1–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Minaur has posted a 2–1 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Minaur entering this matchup. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 3 wins.