Flavio Cobolli vs Frances Tiafoe · Match odds & ELO prediction
ATP Indian Wells • Hard • Mar 9, 2026 • 1:10 AM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Frances Tiafoe
Key insights
Player performance profile
Flavio Cobolli
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,422 points across 76 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,422 points across 76 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.7 | 26% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.9 | 73% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.4 | 46% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 54% | 60% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Frances Tiafoe
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,674 points across 57 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,674 points across 57 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.8 | 51% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.9 | 51% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.7 | 62% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 56% | 64% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Flavio Cobolli and Frances Tiafoe are set to meet at the ATP Indian Wells on March 9, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Cobolli enters with a 1–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Tiafoe has posted a 1–1 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Tiafoe, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Tiafoe leads 3–1 over Cobolli, including a win in their most recent meeting.