Madison Keys vs Diane Parry · Match odds & ELO prediction
WTA Indian Wells • Hard • Mar 8, 2026 • 2:30 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Madison Keys
Key insights
Player performance profile
Madison Keys
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
58%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,359 points across 62 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,359 points across 62 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.2 | 90% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.1 | 65% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +5.1 | 85% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 75% | 92% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Diane Parry
56% · 9–7 on hard
0% · 0–4 on clay
Games won (last 10)
45%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,636 points across 36 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,636 points across 36 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.4 | 83% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.9 | 14% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +11.1 | 99% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Madison Keys and Diane Parry are set to meet at the WTA Indian Wells on March 8, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Keys enters with a 2–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Parry has posted a 9–7 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Keys entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Keys leads 1–0 over Parry, including a win in their most recent meeting.