Marta Kostyuk vs Taylor Townsend · Match odds & ELO prediction
WTA Indian Wells • Hard • Mar 8, 2026 • 4:35 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Marta Kostyuk
Key insights
Player performance profile
Marta Kostyuk
80% · 4–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,484 points across 50 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,484 points across 50 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.5 | 69% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.4 | 68% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.9 | 72% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 47% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Taylor Townsend
58% · 15–11 on hard
40% · 2–3 on clay
75% · 3–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,986 points across 40 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,986 points across 40 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.6 | 92% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.7 | 16% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +10.7 | 98% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 80% | 95% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Marta Kostyuk and Taylor Townsend are set to meet at the WTA Indian Wells on March 8, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Kostyuk enters with a 4–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Townsend has limited recorded results on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Kostyuk entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Kostyuk leads 2–0 over Townsend, including a win in their most recent meeting.