Sebastian Ofner vs Jurij Rodionov · Match odds & ELO prediction
Thionville • Hard • Mar 6, 2026 • 6:35 PM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Sebastian Ofner
Key insights
Player performance profile
Sebastian Ofner
73% · 11–4 on hard
60% · 9–6 on clay
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,989 points across 33 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,989 points across 33 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.7 | 68% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -5.2 | 6% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.0 | 48% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 43% | 24% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Jurij Rodionov
80% · 4–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,478 points across 17 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,478 points across 17 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.3 | 32% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.6 | 54% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +9.9 | 99% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Sebastian Ofner and Jurij Rodionov are set to meet at the Thionville on March 6, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Ofner enters with a 11–4 record on hard courts in 2026, while Rodionov has posted a 4–1 mark on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Ofner leads 3–0 over Rodionov, including a win in their most recent meeting.