Stefano Napolitano vs Arthur Gea · Match odds & ELO prediction
Kigali • Clay • Mar 6, 2026 • 8:40 AM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Stefano Napolitano
Key insights
Player performance profile
Stefano Napolitano
47% · 7–8 on hard
55% · 12–10 on clay
0% · 0–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
56%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,072 points across 7 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,072 points across 7 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.5 | 0% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.8 | 32% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.6 | 42% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Arthur Gea
100% · 5–0 on hard
Games won (last 10)
43%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,529 points across 10 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,529 points across 10 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.2 | 22% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.7 | 76% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +3.0 | 74% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Stefano Napolitano and Arthur Gea are set to meet at the Kigali on March 6, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Napolitano enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Gea has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Gea entering this matchup. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 1 wins.