BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

Adam Walton vs Learner Tien · Match odds & ELO prediction

ATP Indian Wells • Hard • Mar 6, 2026 • 7:10 PM

Hard

Final score

0 - 2

Winner Learner Tien

Key insights

Player performance profile

Adam Walton

HARDSmall sample

50% · 11 on hard

Games won (last 10)

50%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~9,242 points across 58 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
0.340% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-3.222% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Vulnerable
-6.57% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Vulnerable
24%4% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Learner Tien

HARDSmall sample

50% · 11 on hard

Games won (last 10)

47%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~11,954 points across 77 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
0.037% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
-1.069% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+2.571% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Shaky
48%43% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Adam Walton and Learner Tien are set to meet at the ATP Indian Wells on March 6, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Walton enters with a 1–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Tien has posted a 1–1 mark on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Tien leads 2–1 over Walton, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Recent form has been mixed for both players, with Walton and Tien alternating wins and losses across their last few singles outings.
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