Marco Trungelliti vs Josef Schwaerzler Joel · Match odds & ELO prediction
Kigali • Clay • Mar 5, 2026 • 9:55 AM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Josef Schwaerzler Joel
Key insights
Player performance profile
Marco Trungelliti
33% · 4–8 on hard
69% · 42–19 on clay
33% · 1–2 on grass
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,477 points across 23 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,477 points across 23 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.4 | 4% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.3 | 64% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.4 | 70% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 43% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Josef Schwaerzler Joel
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~151 points across 1 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~151 points across 1 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.9 | 22% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.6 | 60% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.6 | 56% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Marco Trungelliti and Josef Schwaerzler Joel are set to meet at the Kigali on March 5, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Trungelliti enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Joel has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Trungelliti, but the gap is not overwhelming. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 1 wins.