Ajla Tomljanovic vs Gabriela Ruse Elena · Match odds & ELO prediction
WTA Indian Wells • Hard • Mar 4, 2026 • 8:55 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Ajla Tomljanovic
Key insights
Player performance profile
Ajla Tomljanovic
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,420 points across 54 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,420 points across 54 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.4 | 53% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.9 | 44% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.7 | 63% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 58% | 68% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Gabriela Ruse Elena
80% · 4–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
46%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,422 points across 52 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,422 points across 52 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.8 | 61% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.8 | 80% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.4 | 33% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 44% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Ajla Tomljanovic and Gabriela Ruse Elena are set to meet at the WTA Indian Wells on March 4, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Tomljanovic enters with a 1–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Elena has posted a 4–1 mark on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 2 wins.