Yulia Putintseva vs Paula Badosa · Match odds & ELO prediction
WTA Indian Wells • Hard • Mar 4, 2026 • 7:10 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Yulia Putintseva
Key insights
Player performance profile
Yulia Putintseva
67% · 4–2 on hard
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,575 points across 56 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,575 points across 56 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.6 | 54% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.1 | 38% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -6.6 | 10% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 27% | 10% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Paula Badosa
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,514 points across 29 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,514 points across 29 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.5 | 91% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.0 | 24% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.2 | 60% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 63% | 78% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Yulia Putintseva and Paula Badosa are set to meet at the WTA Indian Wells on March 4, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Putintseva enters with a 4–2 record on hard courts in 2026, while Badosa has posted a 1–1 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Putintseva entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Badosa leads 3–1 over Putintseva.