Yulia Putintseva vs Paula Badosa · Match odds & ELO prediction
WTA Indian Wells • Hard • Mar 4, 2026 • 7:10 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Yulia Putintseva
Key insights
Player performance profile
Yulia Putintseva
67% · 4–2 on hard
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,005 points across 59 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,005 points across 59 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.6 | 54% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.4 | 34% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -5.6 | 12% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 39% | 23% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Paula Badosa
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,387 points across 35 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,387 points across 35 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.6 | 85% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.2 | 24% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.5 | 53% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 56% | 58% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Yulia Putintseva and Paula Badosa are set to meet at the WTA Indian Wells on March 4, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Putintseva enters with a 4–2 record on hard courts in 2026, while Badosa has posted a 1–1 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Badosa, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Badosa leads 3–1 over Putintseva.