Reilly Opelka vs Ethan Quinn · Match odds & ELO prediction
ATP Indian Wells • Hard • Mar 4, 2026 • 9:10 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Reilly Opelka
Key insights
Player performance profile
Reilly Opelka
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,785 points across 60 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,785 points across 60 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 5.6 | 98% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -9.1 | 1% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +6.1 | 91% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 62% | 79% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Ethan Quinn
61% · 11–7 on hard
55% · 6–5 on clay
Games won (last 10)
47%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,028 points across 70 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,028 points across 70 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.6 | 48% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.0 | 46% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +5.5 | 89% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 66% | 85% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Reilly Opelka and Ethan Quinn are set to meet at the ATP Indian Wells on March 4, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Opelka enters with a 1–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Quinn has posted a 11–7 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Quinn entering this matchup. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 1 wins.