Jesse Flores vs Karl Poling · Match odds & ELO prediction
M15 Sherbrooke • Hard • Mar 3, 2026 • 7:30 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Jesse Flores
Key insights
Player performance profile
Jesse Flores
43% · 12–16 on hard
40% · 2–3 on clay
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~0 points across 2 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~0 points across 2 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.0 | 36% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.0 | 84% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | 0.0 | 48% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Karl Poling
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
42%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~177 points across 1 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~177 points across 1 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.4 | 28% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.8 | 73% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +6.9 | 95% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Jesse Flores and Karl Poling are set to meet at the M15 Sherbrooke on March 3, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Flores enters with limited recorded results on hard courts in 2026, while Poling has posted a 0–1 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Poling, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Flores leads 1–0 over Poling, including a win in their most recent meeting.