Tom Paris vs Otto Virtanen · Match odds & ELO prediction
Thionville • Hard • Mar 3, 2026 • 6:50 PM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Otto Virtanen
Key insights
Player performance profile
Tom Paris
67% · 35–17 on hard
48% · 10–11 on clay
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~0 points across 0 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~0 points across 0 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.0 | 36% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.0 | 84% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | 0.0 | 48% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Otto Virtanen
52% · 16–15 on hard
42% · 5–7 on clay
100% · 6–0 on grass
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,669 points across 24 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,669 points across 24 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.7 | 25% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.9 | 50% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +4.7 | 85% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 63% | 79% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Tom Paris and Otto Virtanen are set to meet at the Thionville on March 3, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Paris enters with limited recorded results on hard courts in 2026, while Virtanen has limited recorded results on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Virtanen, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Virtanen leads 2–0 over Paris, including a win in their most recent meeting.