Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Arnaud Bailly Gilles · Match odds & ELO prediction
Thionville • Hard • Mar 4, 2026 • 2:30 PM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Pierre-Hugues Herbert
Key insights
Player performance profile
Pierre-Hugues Herbert
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
47%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,130 points across 33 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,130 points across 33 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.1 | 55% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.0 | 11% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.9 | 74% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 55% | 61% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Arnaud Bailly Gilles
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
46%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~602 points across 4 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~602 points across 4 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.8 | 70% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.8 | 32% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.2 | 68% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Pierre-Hugues Herbert and Arnaud Bailly Gilles are set to meet at the Thionville on March 4, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Herbert enters with a 0–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Gilles has posted a 0–1 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Herbert, but the gap is not overwhelming. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 1 wins.