Matteo Martineau vs Keegan Smith · Match odds & ELO prediction
Thionville • Hard • Mar 1, 2026 • 6:45 PM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Keegan Smith
Key insights
Player performance profile
Matteo Martineau
75% · 3–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
47%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~652 points across 4 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~652 points across 4 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.7 | 24% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.6 | 16% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +4.8 | 86% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Keegan Smith
100% · 4–0 on hard
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Match Overview
Matteo Martineau and Keegan Smith are set to meet at the Thionville on March 1, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Martineau enters with a 3–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Smith has posted a 4–0 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Smith entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Smith leads 1–0 over Martineau, including a win in their most recent meeting.