Ryan Nijboer vs Matteo Covato · Match odds & ELO prediction
Kigali • Clay • Mar 1, 2026 • 9:15 AM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Ryan Nijboer
Key insights
Player performance profile
Ryan Nijboer
0% · 0–2 on hard
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~0 points across 0 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~0 points across 0 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.0 | 36% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.0 | 84% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | 0.0 | 48% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Matteo Covato
8% · 1–12 on hard
50% · 16–16 on clay
Games won (last 10)
46%
10 matches tracked
Match Overview
Ryan Nijboer and Matteo Covato are set to meet at the Kigali on March 1, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Nijboer enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Covato has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Nijboer entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Nijboer leads 1–0 over Covato, including a win in their most recent meeting.