Jasmine Paolini vs Cristina Bucsa · Match odds & ELO prediction
WTA Merida • Hard • Mar 1, 2026 • 3:00 AM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Cristina Bucsa
Key insights
Player performance profile
Jasmine Paolini
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,683 points across 71 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,683 points across 71 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.9 | 61% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.0 | 82% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.1 | 68% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 56% | 61% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Cristina Bucsa
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,055 points across 70 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,055 points across 70 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.2 | 48% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.2 | 64% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.5 | 46% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 41% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Jasmine Paolini and Cristina Bucsa are set to meet at the WTA Merida on March 1, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Paolini enters with a 1–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Bucsa has posted a 1–1 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Paolini entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Bucsa leads 2–1 over Paolini, including a win in their most recent meeting.