Matej Dodig vs Josef Schwaerzler Joel · Match odds & ELO prediction
Lugano • Clay • Feb 28, 2026 • 4:05 PM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Josef Schwaerzler Joel
Key insights
Player performance profile
Matej Dodig
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~465 points across 3 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~465 points across 3 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.5 | 17% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.4 | 41% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.7 | 43% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Josef Schwaerzler Joel
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~151 points across 1 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~151 points across 1 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.9 | 22% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.6 | 60% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.6 | 56% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Matej Dodig and Josef Schwaerzler Joel are set to meet at the Lugano on February 28, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Dodig enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Joel has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Joel entering this matchup. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 1 wins.