Valentin Vacherot vs Brandon Nakashima · Match odds & ELO prediction
Acapulco • Hard • Feb 27, 2026 • 4:30 AM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Brandon Nakashima
Key insights
Player performance profile
Valentin Vacherot
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
57%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,879 points across 30 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,879 points across 30 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.3 | 75% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.2 | 24% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -10.2 | 2% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Brandon Nakashima
80% · 4–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,791 points across 67 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,791 points across 67 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.8 | 90% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.5 | 17% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.6 | 35% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 52% | 54% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Valentin Vacherot and Brandon Nakashima are set to meet at the Acapulco on February 27, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Vacherot enters with a 0–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Nakashima has posted a 4–1 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Nakashima entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Nakashima leads 2–0 over Vacherot, including a win in their most recent meeting.