Jakub Mensik vs Alexei Popyrin · Match odds & ELO prediction
Dubai • Hard • Feb 25, 2026 • 4:20 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Jakub Mensik
Key insights
Player performance profile
Jakub Mensik
33% · 1–2 on hard
Games won (last 10)
58%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,832 points across 63 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,832 points across 63 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.0 | 85% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.3 | 62% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.4 | 69% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 60% | 73% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Alexei Popyrin
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
46%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,262 points across 42 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,262 points across 42 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.9 | 52% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.1 | 12% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.4 | 53% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 55% | 64% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Jakub Mensik and Alexei Popyrin are set to meet at the Dubai on February 25, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Mensik enters with a 1–2 record on hard courts in 2026, while Popyrin has posted a 0–1 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Mensik, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Mensik leads 3–0 over Popyrin, including a win in their most recent meeting.