Alexander Shevchenko vs Karen Khachanov · Match odds & ELO prediction
Dubai • Hard • Feb 24, 2026 • 11:50 AM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Karen Khachanov
Key insights
Player performance profile
Alexander Shevchenko
52% · 11–10 on hard
44% · 4–5 on clay
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,617 points across 60 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,617 points across 60 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.4 | 10% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.3 | 41% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.0 | 23% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 45% | 33% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Karen Khachanov
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,417 points across 64 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,417 points across 64 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.9 | 84% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.4 | 60% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.7 | 26% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 43% | 31% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Alexander Shevchenko and Karen Khachanov are set to meet at the Dubai on February 24, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Shevchenko enters with a 11–10 record on hard courts in 2026, while Khachanov has posted a 0–1 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Shevchenko entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Khachanov leads 3–1 over Shevchenko, including a win in their most recent meeting.