Katie Boulter vs Beatriz Haddad Maia · Match odds & ELO prediction
WTA Merida • Hard • Feb 24, 2026 • 12:45 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Katie Boulter
Key insights
Player performance profile
Katie Boulter
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,073 points across 49 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,073 points across 49 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.4 | 39% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.2 | 37% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.4 | 20% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 38% | 22% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Beatriz Haddad Maia
35% · 8–15 on hard
44% · 4–5 on clay
50% · 4–4 on grass
Games won (last 10)
39%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,963 points across 47 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,963 points across 47 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.4 | 52% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.7 | 7% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.8 | 29% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 36% | 20% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Katie Boulter and Beatriz Haddad Maia are set to meet at the WTA Merida on February 24, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Boulter enters with a 1–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Maia has limited recorded results on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Boulter entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Boulter leads 3–1 over Maia, including a win in their most recent meeting.