Alexander Zverev vs Corentin Moutet · Match odds & ELO prediction
Acapulco • Hard • Feb 25, 2026 • 2:05 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Alexander Zverev
Key insights
Player performance profile
Alexander Zverev
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~14,977 points across 93 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~14,977 points across 93 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 4.8 | 95% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.1 | 67% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.1 | 60% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 64% | 85% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Corentin Moutet
58% · 22–16 on hard
47% · 8–9 on clay
69% · 9–4 on grass
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,700 points across 68 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,700 points across 68 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.1 | 22% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.4 | 88% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +3.2 | 76% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 51% | 54% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Alexander Zverev and Corentin Moutet are set to meet at the Acapulco on February 25, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Zverev enters with a 1–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Moutet has limited recorded results on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Zverev entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Zverev leads 4–0 over Moutet, including a win in their most recent meeting.