Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Henry Bernet · Match odds & ELO prediction
Lugano • Clay • Feb 23, 2026 • 5:05 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Key insights
Player performance profile
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
59% · 10–7 on hard
55% · 6–5 on clay
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,132 points across 29 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,132 points across 29 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.5 | 18% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.4 | 58% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.7 | 17% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 21% | 3% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Henry Bernet
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
38%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~573 points across 4 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~573 points across 4 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.6 | 78% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.0 | 11% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +5.6 | 89% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer and Henry Bernet are set to meet at the Lugano on February 23, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Kjaer enters with a 6–5 record on clay courts in 2026, while Bernet has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Kjaer entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Kjaer leads 2–1 over Bernet, including a win in their most recent meeting.