BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

Alejandro Tabilo vs Tomas Barrios Vera · Match odds & ELO prediction

Santiago • Clay • Feb 25, 2026 • 12:20 AM

Clay

Final score

2 - 0

Winner Alejandro Tabilo

Key insights

Player performance profile

Alejandro Tabilo

HARDSmall sample

67% · 21 on hard

Games won (last 10)

53%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~7,870 points across 48 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
1.768% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-4.012% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+1.059% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Shaky
48%42% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Tomas Barrios Vera

HARDSmall sample

67% · 21 on hard

Games won (last 10)

51%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~4,150 points across 28 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-2.013% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-2.342% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+2.268% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Shaky
42%26% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Alejandro Tabilo and Tomas Barrios Vera are set to meet at the Santiago on February 25, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Tabilo enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Vera has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Tabilo entering this matchup. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 2 wins.

Recent form has been mixed for both players, with Tabilo and Vera alternating wins and losses across their last few singles outings.
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