BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Jan Choinski · Match odds & ELO prediction

Dubai • Hard • Feb 22, 2026 • 7:10 AM

Hard

Final score

2 - 1

Winner Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

Key insights

Player performance profile

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

HARD

44% · 79 on hard

Games won (last 10)

48%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~8,965 points across 54 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Elite
6.199% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-11.30% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Elite
+10.299% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Elite
71%94% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Jan Choinski

HARD

45% · 56 on hard

CLAY

33% · 48 on clay

Games won (last 10)

48%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~2,075 points across 13 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-0.136% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-3.420% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+1.260% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Vulnerable
33%16% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard and Jan Choinski are set to meet at the Dubai on February 22, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Perricard enters with a 7–9 record on hard courts in 2026, while Choinski has posted a 5–6 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Perricard, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Perricard leads 3–0 over Choinski, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Recent singles form slightly favors Choinski, who has won 5 of his last five matches, while Perricard has gone 2–3 over the same span.
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