Alejandro Tabilo vs Ignacio Buse · Match odds & ELO prediction
Rio de Janeiro • Clay • Feb 22, 2026 • 2:10 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Alejandro Tabilo
Key insights
Player performance profile
Alejandro Tabilo
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,984 points across 42 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,984 points across 42 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.5 | 65% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.0 | 12% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.3 | 59% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 52% | 58% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Ignacio Buse
47% · 7–8 on hard
67% · 39–19 on clay
0% · 0–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,897 points across 19 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,897 points across 19 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.4 | 29% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.7 | 75% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -5.9 | 9% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 40% | 25% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Alejandro Tabilo and Ignacio Buse are set to meet at the Rio de Janeiro on February 22, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Tabilo enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Buse has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Tabilo leads 3–0 over Buse, including a win in their most recent meeting.