Nikola Bartunkova vs Mariia Tkacheva · Match odds & ELO prediction
WTA Austin • Hard • Feb 21, 2026 • 4:15 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Nikola Bartunkova
Key insights
Player performance profile
Nikola Bartunkova
67% · 12–6 on hard
50% · 3–3 on clay
Games won (last 10)
47%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,850 points across 20 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,850 points across 20 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.4 | 56% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.2 | 35% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.3 | 61% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Mariia Tkacheva
62% · 21–13 on hard
0% · 0–1 on clay
Games won (last 10)
42%
9 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~100 points across 1 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~100 points across 1 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.6 | 22% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.1 | 26% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.6 | 43% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Nikola Bartunkova and Mariia Tkacheva are set to meet at the WTA Austin on February 21, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Bartunkova enters with a 12–6 record on hard courts in 2026, while Tkacheva has limited recorded results on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Bartunkova entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Bartunkova leads 1–0 over Tkacheva, including a win in their most recent meeting.