Maria Timofeeva vs Martina Capurro Taborda · Match odds & ELO prediction
WTA Merida • Hard • Feb 21, 2026 • 6:50 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Maria Timofeeva
Key insights
Player performance profile
Maria Timofeeva
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,358 points across 16 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,358 points across 16 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.0 | 9% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.1 | 62% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.5 | 70% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 60% | 75% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Martina Capurro Taborda
79% · 11–3 on hard
71% · 29–12 on clay
Games won (last 10)
46%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~0 points across 0 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~0 points across 0 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.0 | 45% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.0 | 61% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | 0.0 | 50% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Maria Timofeeva and Martina Capurro Taborda are set to meet at the WTA Merida on February 21, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Timofeeva enters with a 1–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Taborda has limited recorded results on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Taborda entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Timofeeva leads 1–0 over Taborda, including a win in their most recent meeting.