Botic Van De Zandschulp vs Pablo Carreno-Busta · Match odds & ELO prediction
Dubai • Hard • Feb 21, 2026 • 8:45 AM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Pablo Carreno-Busta
Key insights
Player performance profile
Botic Van De Zandschulp
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,646 points across 61 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,646 points across 61 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.1 | 34% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.6 | 76% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -8.2 | 3% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 27% | 8% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Pablo Carreno-Busta
50% · 2–2 on hard
Games won (last 10)
56%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,151 points across 39 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,151 points across 39 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.1 | 38% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.4 | 38% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.0 | 40% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 46% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Botic Van De Zandschulp and Pablo Carreno-Busta are set to meet at the Dubai on February 21, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Zandschulp enters with a 1–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Carreno-Busta has posted a 2–2 mark on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Zandschulp leads 2–1 over Carreno-Busta.