Taylor Fritz vs Tommy Paul · Match odds & ELO prediction
Delray Beach • Hard • Feb 21, 2026 • 2:10 AM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Tommy Paul
Key insights
Player performance profile
Taylor Fritz
25% · 1–3 on hard
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~14,150 points across 83 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~14,150 points across 83 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 6.9 | 99% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.0 | 25% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.3 | 38% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 57% | 67% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Tommy Paul
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,544 points across 48 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,544 points across 48 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.5 | 77% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.1 | 92% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.3 | 47% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 52% | 57% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Taylor Fritz and Tommy Paul are set to meet at the Delray Beach on February 21, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Fritz enters with a 1–3 record on hard courts in 2026, while Paul has posted a 0–1 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Fritz, but the gap is not overwhelming. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 3 wins.