BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

Agustin Tirante Thiago vs Alejandro Tabilo · Match odds & ELO prediction

Rio de Janeiro • Clay • Feb 21, 2026 • 1:40 AM

Clay

Final score

1 - 2

Winner Alejandro Tabilo

Key insights

Player performance profile

Agustin Tirante Thiago

HARDSmall sample

100% · 10 on hard

Games won (last 10)

51%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~4,554 points across 31 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
0.442% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-2.537% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Vulnerable
-11.51% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Vulnerable
0%0% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Alejandro Tabilo

HARDSmall sample

67% · 21 on hard

Games won (last 10)

56%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~6,984 points across 42 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
1.565% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-4.012% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+1.359% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Solid
52%58% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Agustin Tirante Thiago and Alejandro Tabilo are set to meet at the Rio de Janeiro on February 21, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Thiago enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Tabilo has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Tabilo leads 3–1 over Thiago, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Recent singles form slightly favors Tabilo, who has won 4 of his last five matches, while Thiago has gone 2–3 over the same span.
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