BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

Agustin Tirante Thiago vs Alejandro Tabilo · Match odds & ELO prediction

Rio de Janeiro • Clay • Feb 21, 2026 • 1:40 AM

Clay

Final score

1 - 2

Winner Alejandro Tabilo

Key insights

Player performance profile

Agustin Tirante Thiago

HARD

54% · 76 on hard

CLAY

67% · 84 on clay

Games won (last 10)

50%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~6,279 points across 42 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
2.780% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-2.832% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Vulnerable
-5.97% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Vulnerable
27%7% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Alejandro Tabilo

HARD

55% · 65 on hard

CLAY

72% · 187 on clay

Games won (last 10)

57%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~8,538 points across 53 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
1.870% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-3.814% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Shaky
+0.249% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Solid
50%51% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Agustin Tirante Thiago and Alejandro Tabilo are set to meet at the Rio de Janeiro on February 21, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Thiago enters with a 8–4 record on clay courts in 2026, while Tabilo has posted a 18–7 mark on clay courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Tabilo leads 3–1 over Thiago, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Recent singles form slightly favors Tabilo, who has won 4 of his last five matches, while Thiago has gone 2–3 over the same span.
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