BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

Agustin Tirante Thiago vs Alejandro Tabilo · Match odds & ELO prediction

Rio de Janeiro • Clay • Feb 21, 2026 • 1:40 AM

Clay

Final score

1 - 2

Winner Alejandro Tabilo

Key insights

Player performance profile

Agustin Tirante Thiago

HARDSmall sample

100% · 10 on hard

Games won (last 10)

59%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~5,032 points across 34 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
1.257% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-2.439% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Vulnerable
-6.37% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Vulnerable
25%5% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Alejandro Tabilo

HARDSmall sample

67% · 21 on hard

Games won (last 10)

53%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~7,870 points across 48 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
1.768% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-4.012% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+1.059% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Shaky
48%42% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Agustin Tirante Thiago and Alejandro Tabilo are set to meet at the Rio de Janeiro on February 21, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Thiago enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Tabilo has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Tabilo entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Tabilo leads 3–1 over Thiago, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Recent singles form slightly favors Thiago, who has won 4 of his last five matches, while Tabilo has gone 2–3 over the same span.
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