Federico Arnaboldi vs Marvin Moeller · Match odds & ELO prediction
M25 Trento • Hard • Feb 19, 2026 • 2:30 PM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Marvin Moeller
Key insights
Player performance profile
Federico Arnaboldi
33% · 1–2 on hard
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~859 points across 6 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~859 points across 6 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.6 | 8% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.3 | 42% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +3.7 | 80% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Marvin Moeller
100% · 1–0 on hard
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Match Overview
Federico Arnaboldi and Marvin Moeller are set to meet at the M25 Trento on February 19, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Arnaboldi enters with a 1–2 record on hard courts in 2026, while Moeller has posted a 1–0 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Arnaboldi entering this matchup. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 1 wins.