Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Manon Leonard · Match odds & ELO prediction
Les Sables d'Olonne • Hard • Feb 19, 2026 • 5:05 PM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Andrea Lazaro Garcia
Key insights
Player performance profile
Andrea Lazaro Garcia
52% · 11–10 on hard
60% · 26–17 on clay
0% · 0–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~450 points across 3 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~450 points across 3 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.5 | 21% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.3 | 20% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.4 | 26% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Manon Leonard
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
41%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~870 points across 6 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~870 points across 6 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.0 | 15% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.6 | 30% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.9 | 30% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Andrea Lazaro Garcia and Manon Leonard are set to meet at the Les Sables d'Olonne on February 19, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Garcia enters with limited recorded results on hard courts in 2026, while Leonard has posted a 0–1 mark on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Garcia leads 2–0 over Leonard, including a win in their most recent meeting.