Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipas · Match odds & ELO prediction
Doha • Hard • Feb 18, 2026 • 1:05 PM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Stefanos Tsitsipas
Key insights
Player performance profile
Daniil Medvedev
100% · 5–0 on hard
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,650 points across 78 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,650 points across 78 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.3 | 75% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.6 | 96% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -4.2 | 15% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 54% | 58% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Stefanos Tsitsipas
56% · 9–7 on hard
50% · 3–3 on clay
Games won (last 10)
56%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,531 points across 55 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,531 points across 55 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.8 | 92% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.5 | 38% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.0 | 48% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 57% | 66% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Daniil Medvedev and Stefanos Tsitsipas are set to meet at the Doha on February 18, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Medvedev enters with a 5–0 record on hard courts in 2026, while Tsitsipas has posted a 9–7 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Medvedev entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Medvedev leads 5–3 over Tsitsipas.