Thijs Boogaard vs Noel Larwig · Match odds & ELO prediction
M15 The Hague • Hard • Feb 17, 2026 • 11:00 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Thijs Boogaard
Key insights
Player performance profile
Thijs Boogaard
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
56%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~437 points across 3 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~437 points across 3 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.0 | 13% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.7 | 31% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +7.4 | 96% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Noel Larwig
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
34%
10 matches tracked
Match Overview
Thijs Boogaard and Noel Larwig are set to meet at the M15 The Hague on February 17, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Boogaard enters with a 1–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Larwig has posted a 0–1 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Larwig entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Boogaard leads 1–0 over Larwig, including a win in their most recent meeting.