Zhizhen Zhang vs Roberto Carballes Baena · Match odds & ELO prediction
Doha • Hard • Feb 17, 2026 • 1:15 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Zhizhen Zhang
Key insights
Player performance profile
Zhizhen Zhang
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,858 points across 19 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,858 points across 19 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.2 | 74% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -6.8 | 1% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +9.0 | 98% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Roberto Carballes Baena
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,003 points across 31 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,003 points across 31 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.3 | 5% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.5 | 88% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.9 | 43% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 47% | 36% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Zhizhen Zhang and Roberto Carballes Baena are set to meet at the Doha on February 17, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Zhang enters with a 1–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Baena has posted a 1–1 mark on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Zhang leads 2–1 over Baena, including a win in their most recent meeting.