Thiago Monteiro vs Dusan Lajovic · Match odds & ELO prediction
Rio de Janeiro • Clay • Feb 15, 2026 • 7:10 PM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Thiago Monteiro
Key insights
Player performance profile
Thiago Monteiro
43% · 3–4 on hard
48% · 23–25 on clay
0% · 0–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,225 points across 24 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,225 points across 24 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.1 | 56% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.9 | 13% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.3 | 35% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 57% | 68% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Dusan Lajovic
67% · 4–2 on hard
45% · 9–11 on clay
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,606 points across 44 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,606 points across 44 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.1 | 23% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.2 | 81% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.6 | 18% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 47% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Thiago Monteiro and Dusan Lajovic are set to meet at the Rio de Janeiro on February 15, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Monteiro enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Lajovic has posted a 9–11 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Lajovic, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Monteiro leads 4–0 over Lajovic, including a win in their most recent meeting.