Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Pablo Varillas Juan · Match odds & ELO prediction
Tigre • Clay • Feb 17, 2026 • 2:50 PM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Alvaro Guillen Meza
Key insights
Player performance profile
Alvaro Guillen Meza
62% · 44–27 on clay
0% · 0–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,024 points across 8 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,024 points across 8 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.3 | 19% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.8 | 98% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -10.3 | 2% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Pablo Varillas Juan
0% · 0–1 on hard
62% · 31–19 on clay
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~455 points across 3 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~455 points across 3 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.4 | 30% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.8 | 73% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +3.3 | 78% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Alvaro Guillen Meza and Pablo Varillas Juan are set to meet at the Tigre on February 17, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Meza enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Juan has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Meza, but the gap is not overwhelming. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 2 wins.