Jelena Ostapenko vs Anna Kalinskaya · Match odds & ELO prediction
WTA Dubai • Hard • Feb 16, 2026 • 1:20 PM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Anna Kalinskaya
Key insights
Player performance profile
Jelena Ostapenko
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,809 points across 40 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,809 points across 40 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.3 | 25% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.0 | 81% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -5.4 | 14% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 36% | 22% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Anna Kalinskaya
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,093 points across 50 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,093 points across 50 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.0 | 80% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.7 | 28% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.3 | 48% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 45% | 39% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Jelena Ostapenko and Anna Kalinskaya are set to meet at the WTA Dubai on February 16, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Ostapenko enters with a 0–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Kalinskaya has posted a 1–1 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Ostapenko entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Kalinskaya leads 4–0 over Ostapenko, including a win in their most recent meeting.