BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

Alex De Minaur vs Ugo Humbert · Match odds & ELO prediction

Rotterdam • Hard • Feb 14, 2026 • 2:10 PM

Hard

Final score

2 - 0

Winner Alex De Minaur

Key insights

Player performance profile

Alex De Minaur

HARDSmall sample

67% · 21 on hard

Games won (last 10)

46%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~13,503 points across 91 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
2.677% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Elite
2.497% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Shaky
-2.428% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Shaky
48%43% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Ugo Humbert

HARDSmall sample

0% · 01 on hard

Games won (last 10)

49%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~8,056 points across 53 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Elite
4.292% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-3.221% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+1.966% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Strong
61%77% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Alex De Minaur and Ugo Humbert are set to meet at the Rotterdam on February 14, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Minaur enters with a 2–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Humbert has posted a 0–1 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Minaur entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Minaur leads 7–1 over Humbert, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Recent form has been mixed for both players, with Minaur and Humbert alternating wins and losses across their last few singles outings.
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