Maria Sakkari vs Karolina Muchova · Match odds & ELO prediction
WTA Doha • Hard • Feb 13, 2026 • 4:40 PM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Karolina Muchova
Key insights
Player performance profile
Maria Sakkari
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,082 points across 58 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,082 points across 58 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.3 | 42% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.8 | 26% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.3 | 38% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 54% | 57% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Karolina Muchova
75% · 3–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
64%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,823 points across 45 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,823 points across 45 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.6 | 92% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.3 | 21% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.7 | 65% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 64% | 81% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Maria Sakkari and Karolina Muchova are set to meet at the WTA Doha on February 13, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Sakkari enters with a 2–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Muchova has posted a 3–1 mark on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Muchova leads 4–0 over Sakkari, including a win in their most recent meeting.