Iga Swiatek vs Maria Sakkari · Match odds & ELO prediction
WTA Doha • Hard • Feb 12, 2026 • 2:10 PM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Maria Sakkari
Key insights
Player performance profile
Iga Swiatek
60% · 3–2 on hard
Games won (last 10)
61%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,749 points across 86 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,749 points across 86 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 4.7 | 98% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.3 | 98% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +3.6 | 76% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 63% | 80% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Maria Sakkari
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,082 points across 58 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,082 points across 58 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.3 | 42% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.8 | 26% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.3 | 38% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 54% | 57% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Iga Swiatek and Maria Sakkari are set to meet at the WTA Doha on February 12, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Swiatek enters with a 3–2 record on hard courts in 2026, while Sakkari has posted a 2–1 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Sakkari, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Swiatek leads 5–3 over Sakkari, including a win in their most recent meeting.