Alex De Minaur vs Stan Wawrinka · Match odds & ELO prediction
Rotterdam • Hard • Feb 12, 2026 • 3:20 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Alex De Minaur
Key insights
Player performance profile
Alex De Minaur
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,854 points across 86 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,854 points across 86 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.6 | 78% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.7 | 98% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.6 | 23% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 45% | 32% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Stan Wawrinka
20% · 1–4 on hard
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,113 points across 24 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,113 points across 24 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.2 | 41% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.6 | 9% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -7.2 | 6% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 33% | 18% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Alex De Minaur and Stan Wawrinka are set to meet at the Rotterdam on February 12, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Minaur enters with a 2–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Wawrinka has posted a 1–4 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Wawrinka entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Minaur leads 2–0 over Wawrinka, including a win in their most recent meeting.